Al Najma 1-0 Al-Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-15.4pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.6pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.3pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Ain EU Bookmakers 19%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +14%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.94
-43% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +69%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al-Ain
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.05.2024 Al-Ain Al-Ain 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
08.01.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 0-1 HT 0-0 Al-Ain Al-Ain SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Al-Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma nicked a narrow win over Al-Ain 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Najma as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al-Ain led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Najma and 1.50 for Al-Ain.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al-Ain?

Al Najma 1-0 Al-Ain in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Al-Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 46%, draw 30%, Al-Ain 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Najma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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