Santa Clara U23 1-3 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
54%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.95
Over 2.5
36%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
54%
Away Win
55%
-1.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
48%
+16.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
52%
-16.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.3pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 60%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.74
-100% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -66%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Estoril U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
21.08.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 3-0 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara U23
1-3
AWAY Estoril U23
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santa Clara U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 saw off Santa Clara U23 3-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Estoril U23 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Clara U23 had 41% of the ball to Estoril U23's 59%, shots finished 6-17.

What was the final score of Santa Clara U23 vs Estoril U23?

Santa Clara U23 1-3 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara U23 20%, draw 26%, Estoril U23 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estoril U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
5 Nov 2024
18:00 Mafra U23 vs Portimonense U23 Analysis →