Celtic U19 3-2 RB Leipzig U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.61
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.41
No
49%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.99
2-3 Goals
44%
2.07
4-5 Goals
26%
2.57
6+ Goals
10%
5.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
67%
-15.9pp
49%
BTTS No
33%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic U19 EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig U19 EU Bookmakers 51%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-35% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +40%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic U19
1W-0D-1L
AWAY RB Leipzig U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.34 xG 2.04
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
306 Passes 492
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.10.2022 Celtic U19 Celtic U19 0-2 HT 0-2 RB Leipzig U19 RB Leipzig U19 UEGL
05.10.2022 RB Leipzig U19 RB Leipzig U19 1-2 HT 0-2 Celtic U19 Celtic U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic U19
3-2
AWAY RB Leipzig U19
1.03 xG 2.54
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 12
253 Passes 382
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Celtic U19 vs RB Leipzig U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic U19 nicked a narrow win over RB Leipzig U19 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was RB Leipzig U19 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Celtic U19 had 44% of the ball to RB Leipzig U19's 56%, shots finished 10-22, expected goals 1.03 to 2.54 — the balance of chances actually favoured RB Leipzig U19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Celtic U19 and 1.50 for RB Leipzig U19.

What was the final score of Celtic U19 vs RB Leipzig U19?

Celtic U19 3-2 RB Leipzig U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic U19 vs RB Leipzig U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Celtic U19 33%, draw 24%, RB Leipzig U19 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RB Leipzig U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RB Leipzig U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UEGL More UEFA - Youth League
5 Nov 2024
15:00 Slovan Bratislava U19 vs Dinamo Zagreb U19 Analysis →
16:00 PSV U19 vs Girona U19 Analysis →
16:00 Sporting CP U19 vs Manchester City U19 Analysis →
16:30 Bologna U19 vs Monaco U19 Analysis →
17:00 Liverpool U19 vs Leverkusen U19 Analysis →
18:00 Lille U19 vs Juventus U19 Analysis →