Sporting CP U19 2-0 Manchester City U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.56
No
54%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.3 — our 31% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+10.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.7pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U19 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City U19 EU Bookmakers 33%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.03/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.81
+28% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +110%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
Crosses 21.9
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U19
2-0
AWAY Manchester City U19
0.98 xG 0.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
372 Passes 414
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U19 vs Manchester City U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U19 got the better of Manchester City U19 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sporting CP U19 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sporting CP U19 had 48% of the ball to Manchester City U19's 52%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.98 to 0.21.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U19 vs Manchester City U19?

Sporting CP U19 2-0 Manchester City U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U19 vs Manchester City U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U19 36%, draw 24%, Manchester City U19 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Manchester City U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City U19) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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