Fiorentina U19 3-2 Legia Warszawa U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 5 Nov 2025

📅05/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
14%
4.08
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
59%
+1.7pp
14%
Draw
21%
-6.6pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.9pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U19 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Warszawa U19 EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Legia Warszawa U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.81 xG 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
332 Passes 286
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2025 Legia Warszawa U19 Legia Warszawa U19 4-1 HT 3-1 Fiorentina U19 Fiorentina U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina U19
3-2
AWAY Legia Warszawa U19
2.95 xG 0.59
66% Ball Possession 34%
33 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
402 Passes 185
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U19 squeezed past Legia Warszawa U19 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fiorentina U19 as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Fiorentina U19 had 66% of the ball to Legia Warszawa U19's 34%, shots finished 33-8, expected goals 2.95 to 0.59 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fiorentina U19's control.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19?

Fiorentina U19 3-2 Legia Warszawa U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U19 61%, draw 14%, Legia Warszawa U19 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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