Manchester City U19 0-3 Borussia Dortmund U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 5 Nov 2025

Manchester City U19
0-3 HT 0-2
Borussia Dortmund U19
📅05/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2025/2026

Manchester City U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.45
Draw
15%
4.49
Away
15%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.98
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
64%
+5.1pp
15%
Draw
19%
-4.0pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-1.0pp
31%
Under 2.5
30%
+0.8pp
69%
Over 2.5
70%
-0.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.5pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester City U19 v Borussia Dortmund U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City U19 EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund U19 EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
2.36/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.10
+39% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
14.3 Crosses 9.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9

Manchester City U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City U19
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund U19
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
2.72 xG 1.21
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
468 Passes 252
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.10.2022 Borussia Dortmund U19 Borussia Dortmund U19 3-3 HT 1-3 Manchester City U19 Manchester City U19 UEGL
14.09.2022 Manchester City U19 Manchester City U19 3-2 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund U19 Borussia Dortmund U19 UEGL

Manchester City U19 0-3 Borussia Dortmund U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City U19
0-3
AWAY Borussia Dortmund U19
1.01 xG 2.34
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
406 Passes 317
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Crosses 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manchester City U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund U19 swept aside Manchester City U19 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Manchester City U19 carried 70% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (69%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Manchester City U19 had 55% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund U19's 45%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.01 to 2.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Manchester City U19 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Manchester City U19 and 2.50 for Borussia Dortmund U19.

What was the final score of Manchester City U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19?

Manchester City U19 0-3 Borussia Dortmund U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City U19 vs Borussia Dortmund U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Manchester City U19 70%, draw 15%, Borussia Dortmund U19 15%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Manchester City U19), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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