Newcastle United U19 2-3 Athletic Bilbao U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 5 Nov 2025

📅05/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.65
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
57%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
26%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
19%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
57%
Away Win
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.0pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United U19 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao U19 EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +30%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United U19
2-3
AWAY Athletic Bilbao U19
1.27 xG 1.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
414 Passes 283
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Newcastle United U19 vs Athletic Bilbao U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao U19 edged past Newcastle United U19 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Athletic Bilbao U19 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Newcastle United U19 had 58% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao U19's 42%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.27 to 1.60.

What was the final score of Newcastle United U19 vs Athletic Bilbao U19?

Newcastle United U19 2-3 Athletic Bilbao U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 05/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United U19 vs Athletic Bilbao U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athletic Bilbao U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United U19 19%, draw 24%, Athletic Bilbao U19 57%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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