Mlada Boleslav 1-0 Slovan Liberec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
27%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.58/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.98
+20% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
289 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
16.0 Crosses 18.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Slovan Liberec
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 0-1 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav HAZ
25.11.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-1 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
01.11.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEKK
30.07.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 0-2 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
12.03.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 4-0 HT 3-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
17.09.2022 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-3 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
1-0
AWAY Slovan Liberec
0.61 xG 0.48
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
396 Passes 197
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
14 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Slovan Liberec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav nicked a narrow win over Slovan Liberec 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Mlada Boleslav found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 61% of the ball to Slovan Liberec's 39%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.61 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 1.00 for Slovan Liberec.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Slovan Liberec?

Mlada Boleslav 1-0 Slovan Liberec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Slovan Liberec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 40%, draw 28%, Slovan Liberec 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mlada Boleslav), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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