Viktoria Plzen 1-1 Teplice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.0pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.8pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Teplice EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
1.79/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.92
+8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
23.5 Crosses 15.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Teplice
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2024 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-0 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
22.07.2023 Teplice Teplice 1-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
30.04.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-1 HT 0-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
30.07.2022 Teplice Teplice 2-2 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
12.03.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-0 HT 1-0 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
17.10.2021 Teplice Teplice 0-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
1-1
AWAY Teplice
1.42 xG 1.22
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 3
520 Passes 189
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Teplice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen and Teplice shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Viktoria Plzen at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 69% of the ball to Teplice's 31%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.42 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 0.67 for Teplice.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Teplice?

Viktoria Plzen 1-1 Teplice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Teplice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 58%, draw 22%, Teplice 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✗ Over 2.5
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