Fulham 3-1 Brighton & Hove Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.9
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
11%
6.4
X/2
14%
6.54
X/X
15%
5.68
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
12%
4.03
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.64/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.11
+35% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 79%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
22.9 Crosses 16.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.75 xG 1.45
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
267 Passes 502
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Fulham Fulham 3-0 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
29.10.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
18.02.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-1 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
30.08.2022 Fulham Fulham 2-1 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
27.01.2021 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
16.12.2020 Fulham Fulham 0-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
3-1
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
1.06 xG 1.47
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
309 Passes 438
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Brighton & Hove Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham got the better of Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Fulham found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Fulham had 43% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 57%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 1.06 to 1.47 — on chances, Brighton & Hove Albion could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fulham had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fulham and 0.33 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Fulham 3-1 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - Premier League on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fulham 39%, draw 28%, Brighton & Hove Albion 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fulham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
5 Dec 2024
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