Bellinzona 1-0 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Cup, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+8.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-9.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 62%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.69
+48% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +48%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
1W-0D-5L
AWAY St. Gallen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
11.05.2011 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-3 HT 1-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
19.03.2011 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-0 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV
01.10.2010 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-3 HT 0-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
25.07.2010 St. Gallen St. Gallen 3-2 HT 1-2 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV
13.05.2010 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-2 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV
10.03.2010 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-2 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
1-0
AWAY St. Gallen
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bellinzona vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bellinzona squeezed past St. Gallen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was St. Gallen at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bellinzona had 49% of the ball to St. Gallen's 51%, shots finished 6-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bellinzona and 2.17 for St. Gallen.

What was the final score of Bellinzona vs St. Gallen?

Bellinzona 1-0 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Cup on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 28%, draw 24%, St. Gallen 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Gallen), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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