Aarau vs Etoile Carouge Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aarau v Etoile Carouge — Team-Based Signals
Aarau vs Etoile Carouge Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Aarau 0-1 Etoile Carouge — Actual Match Statistics
Etoile Carouge edged past Aarau 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Etoile Carouge made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Aarau had 46% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 54%, shots finished 12-20.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aarau and 1.00 for Etoile Carouge.
What was the final score of Aarau vs Etoile Carouge?
Aarau 0-1 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland - Cup on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aarau vs Etoile Carouge?
Before kick-off our model rated an Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Aarau 32%, draw 32%, Etoile Carouge 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Carouge), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.