Racing Club 4-5 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
4.97
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.51
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.55
X/1
19%
3.92
X/2
10%
8.61
X/X
12%
4.06
2/1
11%
29.5
2/2
13%
7.5
2/X
6%
16.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.7pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.39/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.32
+15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 68%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.5 Crosses 18.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Estudiantes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.72 xG 1.19
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 Passes 260
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.02.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
04.09.2023 Racing Club Racing Club 2-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
09.07.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
10.09.2022 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
04.10.2021 Racing Club Racing Club 1-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
01.03.2021 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club
4-5
AWAY Estudiantes
2.43 xG 0.96
67% Ball Possession 33%
27 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
422 Passes 164
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
36 Box Touches 23
29 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Club vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes nicked a narrow win over Racing Club 5-4 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Club at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Club had 67% of the ball to Estudiantes's 33%, shots finished 27-10, expected goals 2.43 to 0.96 — the balance of chances actually favoured Racing Club.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Racing Club and 0.50 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of Racing Club vs Estudiantes?

Racing Club 4-5 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Premier League on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Racing Club 45%, draw 27%, Estudiantes 28%. The final score 4-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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