River Plate 1-1 San Lorenzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.43
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.14
6+ Goals
9%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
20.7
X/1
21%
3.34
X/2
8%
14.55
X/X
13%
5.28
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
10%
13.3
2/X
5%
22.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
66%
-16.4pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.2pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 16%
-12% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.92/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.56
+18% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -6%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
24.5 Crosses 13.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
3W-1D-2L
AWAY San Lorenzo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.14 xG 1.02
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
495 Passes 211
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
09.07.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-0 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
18.09.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-1 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
05.03.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-1 HT 0-1 River Plate River Plate ARJ
18.10.2021 River Plate River Plate 3-1 HT 1-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
26.04.2021 River Plate River Plate 1-2 HT 0-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
09.12.2019 River Plate River Plate 0-1 HT 0-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
1-1
AWAY San Lorenzo
1.58 xG 1.22
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
423 Passes 145
83% Pass Accuracy 59%
25 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH River Plate vs San Lorenzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate and San Lorenzo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was River Plate at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, River Plate had 68% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 32%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.58 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for River Plate and 0.67 for San Lorenzo.

What was the final score of River Plate vs San Lorenzo?

River Plate 1-1 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs San Lorenzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split River Plate 49%, draw 27%, San Lorenzo 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (River Plate), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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