Anderlecht 4-1 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.89
Over 2.5
54%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.46
2-3 Goals
38%
2.12
4-5 Goals
27%
2.46
6+ Goals
11%
5.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-14.5pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.8pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
31%
+15.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
69%
-15.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 19%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.16/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/1.38
-7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +56%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
397 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Westerlo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.68 xG 1.52
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
424 Passes 301
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
36 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-2 HT 1-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
01.12.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 1-3 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
20.08.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
09.04.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
11.09.2022 Westerlo Westerlo 2-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
20.07.2018 Westerlo Westerlo 2-2 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
4-1
AWAY Westerlo
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht cruised past Westerlo 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Anderlecht as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Anderlecht had 60% of the ball to Westerlo's 40%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Anderlecht and 1.33 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Westerlo?

Anderlecht 4-1 Westerlo in the Belgium - Cup on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 51%, draw 24%, Westerlo 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →