Anderlecht 2-2 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.6
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.6 — our 23% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.25
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
14%
4.36
X/2
10%
9.09
X/X
14%
5.64
2/1
9%
21.25
2/2
11%
6.24
2/X
5%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.02/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.83
+3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
393 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
20.0 Crosses 13.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Westerlo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.67 xG 1.54
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
408 Passes 326
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 1-3 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
20.08.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
09.04.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
11.09.2022 Westerlo Westerlo 2-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
20.07.2018 Westerlo Westerlo 2-2 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht HAZ
20.09.2017 Westerlo Westerlo 0-1 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anderlecht
2-2
AWAY Westerlo
1.73 xG 1.44
66% Ball Possession 34%
25 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
489 Passes 198
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
50 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht and Westerlo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Anderlecht at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Anderlecht had 66% of the ball to Westerlo's 34%, shots finished 25-17, expected goals 1.73 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Anderlecht and 1.00 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Westerlo?

Anderlecht 2-2 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 45%, draw 28%, Westerlo 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Anderlecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ BTTS Yes
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