Kortrijk 0-3 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 14 Sep 2024

Kortrijk
0-3 HT 0-1
Club Brugge
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Kortrijk vs Club Brugge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.4
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
48%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.23
Over 2.5
44%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.23
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.57 — our 30% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
10.15
1/2
8%
20.95
1/X
7%
18.3
X/1
8%
13.5
X/2
16%
3.68
X/X
16%
6.75
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
23%
1.74
2/X
6%
17.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+8.3pp
28%
Draw
20%
+8.4pp
48%
Away Win
64%
-16.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kortrijk v Club Brugge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 69%
+7% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.26/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.00
+0% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +11%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
214 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 486 · 81%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
16.3 Crosses 19.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

Kortrijk vs Club Brugge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Club Brugge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.02 xG 2.53
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
232 Passes 479
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.01.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-3 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
21.10.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
18.03.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
21.08.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-1 HT 2-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
30.01.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
15.10.2021 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 2-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL

Kortrijk 0-3 Club Brugge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
0-3
AWAY Club Brugge
0.39 xG 2.44
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
219 Passes 469
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 37
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge swept aside Kortrijk 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kortrijk had 36% of the ball to Club Brugge's 64%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.39 to 2.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kortrijk and 1.33 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs Club Brugge?

Kortrijk 0-3 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 24%, draw 28%, Club Brugge 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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