Royal Pari 2-1 Oriente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
34%
+10.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Pari EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -13%
1.02/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.43
-27% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
18.4 Crosses 14.7
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Pari
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.94 xG 1.28
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
261 Passes 198
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.08.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 0-0 HT 0-0 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
05.10.2023 Royal Pari Royal Pari 1-1 HT 1-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
15.04.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-2 HT 0-1 Royal Pari Royal Pari BOLİ
19.09.2022 Royal Pari Royal Pari 1-0 HT 0-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
16.03.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 3-0 HT 0-0 Royal Pari Royal Pari CON CSA
09.03.2022 Royal Pari Royal Pari 2-3 HT 1-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Pari
2-1
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
2.90 xG 0.99
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
202 Passes 274
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Royal Pari vs Oriente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Pari squeezed past Oriente Petrolero 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Royal Pari as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Royal Pari had 43% of the ball to Oriente Petrolero's 57%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.90 to 0.99 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Royal Pari's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Royal Pari and 1.33 for Oriente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Royal Pari vs Oriente Petrolero?

Royal Pari 2-1 Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Pari vs Oriente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal Pari win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Royal Pari 44%, draw 24%, Oriente Petrolero 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Royal Pari), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Royal Pari) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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