Independiente Petrolero 2-1 Real Tomayapo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.8pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Tomayapo EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.63/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.42
+12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +49%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 71%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
21.0 Crosses 15.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Tomayapo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.29 xG 1.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
260 Passes 234
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.08.2024 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 3-2 HT 2-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
25.11.2023 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 2-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
28.05.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-3 HT 0-2 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
21.10.2022 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
20.04.2022 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
14.02.2022 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 1-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
2-1
AWAY Real Tomayapo
1.71 xG 1.66
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
250 Passes 177
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero nicked a narrow win over Real Tomayapo 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Petrolero as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 58% of the ball to Real Tomayapo's 42%, shots finished 24-12, expected goals 1.71 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Tomayapo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.67 for Real Tomayapo.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?

Independiente Petrolero 2-1 Real Tomayapo in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 44%, draw 26%, Real Tomayapo 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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