Real Tomayapo 3-2 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 8 Aug 2024

Real Tomayapo
3-2 HT 2-0
Independiente Petrolero
📅08/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.1pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Tomayapo v Independiente Petrolero — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Tomayapo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 30%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.18/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.49
-30% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 73%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
24.4 Crosses 14.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2

Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Tomayapo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.52 xG 1.24
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
230 Passes 258
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 2-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
28.05.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-3 HT 0-2 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
21.10.2022 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
20.04.2022 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
14.02.2022 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 1-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
24.10.2021 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ

Real Tomayapo 3-2 Independiente Petrolero — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Tomayapo
3-2
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.79 xG 1.46
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
250 Passes 268
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Tomayapo nicked a narrow win over Independiente Petrolero 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Tomayapo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Real Tomayapo had 47% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 53%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.79 to 1.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Tomayapo and 0.83 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero?

Real Tomayapo 3-2 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 08/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Tomayapo vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Tomayapo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Tomayapo 43%, draw 31%, Independiente Petrolero 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Tomayapo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Tomayapo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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