Santa Cruz 1-2 The Strongest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 8 Aug 2024

📅08/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
44%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-8.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.6pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY The Strongest EU Bookmakers 56%
-11% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -23%
0.88/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.78
-20% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
18.8 Crosses 16.2
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Cruz
0W-2D-4L
AWAY The Strongest
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.54 xG 1.76
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
160 Passes 376
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2024 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 2-3 HT 0-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
21.02.2024 The Strongest The Strongest 3-0 HT 1-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
14.08.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 4-0 HT 3-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
11.03.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-1 HT 1-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
20.10.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 5-2 HT 2-1 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
30.04.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 1-1 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Cruz
1-2
AWAY The Strongest
0.70 xG 1.66
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
198 Passes 447
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz vs The Strongest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The Strongest squeezed past Santa Cruz 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had The Strongest as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Santa Cruz had 36% of the ball to The Strongest's 64%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.70 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The Strongest led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Cruz and 2.83 for The Strongest.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz vs The Strongest?

Santa Cruz 1-2 The Strongest in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 08/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz vs The Strongest?

Before kick-off our model rated an The Strongest win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz 31%, draw 25%, The Strongest 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The Strongest) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The Strongest) ✗ BTTS No
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