Mbarara City 0-3 Maroons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.48
Over 2.5
27%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.13
No
69%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
50%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.2pp
73%
Under 2.5
64%
+8.7pp
27%
Over 2.5
36%
-8.7pp
31%
BTTS Yes
43%
-11.9pp
69%
BTTS No
57%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mbarara City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Maroons EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.60/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-47% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mbarara City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Maroons
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
05.04.2024 Mbarara City Mbarara City 0-0 HT 0-0 Maroons Maroons UGA
02.12.2023 Maroons Maroons 1-0 HT 0-0 Mbarara City Mbarara City UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mbarara City
0-3
AWAY Maroons
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mbarara City vs Maroons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maroons ran out comfortable winners over Mbarara City 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mbarara City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (69%) landed while under 2.5 goals (73%) missed.

On the day, Mbarara City had 49% of the ball to Maroons's 51%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maroons led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Mbarara City and 0.50 for Maroons.

What was the final score of Mbarara City vs Maroons?

Mbarara City 0-3 Maroons in the Uganda - Premier League on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mbarara City vs Maroons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mbarara City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mbarara City 43%, draw 30%, Maroons 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Mbarara City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mbarara City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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