URA 1-1 NEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 5 Dec 2024

URA
1-1 HT 1-0
NEC
📅05/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.19
No
66%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.7pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.1pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.3pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.1pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME URA EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.33/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.53
+42% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME URA
1W-0D-0L
AWAY NEC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2024 URA URA 2-0 HT 1-0 NEC NEC UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME URA
1-1
AWAY NEC
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH URA vs NEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

URA and NEC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

On the day, URA had 45% of the ball to NEC's 55%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of URA vs NEC?

URA 1-1 NEC in the Uganda - Premier League on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for URA vs NEC?

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split URA 33%, draw 32%, NEC 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (NEC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NEC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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