URA 2-0 NEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 16 Apr 2024

URA
2-0 HT 1-0
NEC
📅16/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.6pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME URA EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC EU Bookmakers 34%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.76/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.52
+59% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +98%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME URA
2-0
AWAY NEC
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH URA vs NEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

URA got the better of NEC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day URA made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, URA had 46% of the ball to NEC's 54%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of URA vs NEC?

URA 2-0 NEC in the Uganda - Premier League on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for URA vs NEC?

Before kick-off our model rated a URA win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split URA 40%, draw 24%, NEC 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (URA), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (URA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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