Asteras Tripolis 5-1 Zakynthos APS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.16
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
82%
-17.0pp
20%
Draw
13%
+7.0pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Zakynthos APS EU Bookmakers 8%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.94/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.85
+8% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +38%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Zakynthos APS
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.10.2024 Zakynthos APS Zakynthos APS 1-2 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
5-1
AWAY Zakynthos APS
59% Ball Possession 41%
35 Total Shots 4
13 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Zakynthos APS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis ran out comfortable winners over Zakynthos APS 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Asteras Tripolis as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 59% of the ball to Zakynthos APS's 41%, shots finished 35-4.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Zakynthos APS?

Asteras Tripolis 5-1 Zakynthos APS in the Greece - Cup on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Zakynthos APS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 64%, draw 20%, Zakynthos APS 16%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asteras Tripolis), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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