Panionios 3-0 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 5 Dec 2024

📅05/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.6
Over 2.5
52%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.96
No
44%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.0pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
59%
-11.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
41%
+11.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.4pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panionios EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.96/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.09
+6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panionios
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Panserraikos
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.10.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Panionios Panionios YUK
10.04.2011 Panionios Panionios 0-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
12.12.2010 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 1-0 Panionios Panionios YUN
10.01.2009 Panionios Panionios 2-0 HT 1-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
13.09.2008 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-1 HT 0-1 Panionios Panionios YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panionios
3-0
AWAY Panserraikos
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Panionios vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panionios swept aside Panserraikos 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Panserraikos at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panionios had 59% of the ball to Panserraikos's 41%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Panionios had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Panionios and 0.60 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of Panionios vs Panserraikos?

Panionios 3-0 Panserraikos in the Greece - Cup on 05/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panionios vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panserraikos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Panionios 33%, draw 24%, Panserraikos 43%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Panserraikos), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panserraikos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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