Trento AC 1-0 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Dec 2025

Trento AC
1-0 HT 0-0
Cittadella
📅05/12/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Italy - Serie C – 2025/2026

Trento AC vs Cittadella Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trento AC v Cittadella — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trento AC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.21/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.49
+4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +125%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5

Trento AC vs Cittadella Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trento AC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Cittadella
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 29
3 Shots on Target 16
2 Corners 15
The Meetings
28.07.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 1-3 Trento AC Trento AC HAZ
28.07.2019 Cittadella Cittadella 6-0 HT 2-0 Trento AC Trento AC HAZ

Trento AC 1-0 Cittadella — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trento AC
1-0
AWAY Cittadella
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trento AC vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trento AC edged past Cittadella 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Trento AC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Trento AC had 59% of the ball to Cittadella's 41%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Trento AC and 3.50 for Cittadella.

What was the final score of Trento AC vs Cittadella?

Trento AC 1-0 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie C on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trento AC vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trento AC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Trento AC 36%, draw 30%, Cittadella 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trento AC), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trento AC) ✓ Under 2.5
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