Catania 2-0 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Dec 2025

📅05/12/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.12
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.43
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.8pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.14/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.10
-21% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Crotone
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2025 Crotone Crotone 1-0 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTCK
23.03.2025 Catania Catania 0-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
10.11.2024 Crotone Crotone 3-2 HT 3-0 Catania Catania İTC
18.08.2024 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTCK
07.01.2024 Crotone Crotone 3-0 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
29.11.2023 Catania Catania 3-3 HT 0-1 Crotone Crotone İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
2-0
AWAY Crotone
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Catania vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania got the better of Crotone 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Catania as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Catania had 35% of the ball to Crotone's 65%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crotone led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Catania and 1.83 for Crotone.

What was the final score of Catania vs Crotone?

Catania 2-0 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 05/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Catania 50%, draw 24%, Crotone 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catania), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Catania) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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