Crotone 1-0 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
24%
3.65
6+ Goals
11%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.6pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 33%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/0.89
+136% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / +47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Catania
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2025 Catania Catania 0-0 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
10.11.2024 Crotone Crotone 3-2 HT 3-0 Catania Catania İTC
18.08.2024 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTCK
07.01.2024 Crotone Crotone 3-0 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
29.11.2023 Catania Catania 3-3 HT 0-1 Crotone Crotone İTCK
01.09.2023 Catania Catania 0-1 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
1-0
AWAY Catania
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crotone vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone squeezed past Catania 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Crotone as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crotone had 52% of the ball to Catania's 48%, shots finished 6-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crotone had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Crotone and 1.00 for Catania.

What was the final score of Crotone vs Catania?

Crotone 1-0 Catania in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Crotone 44%, draw 30%, Catania 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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