US Latina 1-0 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.43
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.27
6+ Goals
9%
22.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+5.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.2pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
1-0
AWAY Gubbio
53% Ball Possession 47%
3 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH US Latina vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Latina squeezed past Gubbio 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; US Latina found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, US Latina had 53% of the ball to Gubbio's 47%, shots finished 3-10.

What was the final score of US Latina vs Gubbio?

US Latina 1-0 Gubbio in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs Gubbio?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Latina win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split US Latina 40%, draw 28%, Gubbio 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (US Latina) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (US Latina) ✗ BTTS Yes
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