Perugia 0-0 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.69
4-5 Goals
20%
3.87
6+ Goals
9%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 31% vs market 29.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+0.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perugia EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera EU Bookmakers 25%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.22
-100% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perugia
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Pontedera
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Perugia Perugia 3-0 HT 1-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
15.12.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 2-1 HT 1-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
27.01.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 2-3 HT 0-2 Perugia Perugia İTC
19.09.2023 Perugia Perugia 1-1 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
08.12.2013 Pontedera Pontedera 0-1 HT 0-1 Perugia Perugia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
0-0
AWAY Pontedera
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Perugia vs Pontedera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perugia and Pontedera played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Perugia at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Perugia had 62% of the ball to Pontedera's 38%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Perugia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Perugia and 1.00 for Pontedera.

What was the final score of Perugia vs Pontedera?

Perugia 0-0 Pontedera in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perugia vs Pontedera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Perugia 53%, draw 22%, Pontedera 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Perugia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perugia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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