Pontedera 2-1 Perugia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontedera EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Perugia EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.17/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.62
+1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontedera
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Perugia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 2-3 HT 0-2 Perugia Perugia İTC
19.09.2023 Perugia Perugia 1-1 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
08.12.2013 Pontedera Pontedera 0-1 HT 0-1 Perugia Perugia İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontedera
2-1
AWAY Perugia
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pontedera vs Perugia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontedera edged past Perugia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Pontedera made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pontedera had 36% of the ball to Perugia's 64%, shots finished 13-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Perugia led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pontedera and 1.67 for Perugia.

What was the final score of Pontedera vs Perugia?

Pontedera 2-1 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontedera vs Perugia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 36%, draw 26%, Perugia 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Perugia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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