Pontedera vs Perugia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pontedera v Perugia — Team-Based Signals
Pontedera vs Perugia Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Pontedera
İTC
0-1
HT 0-1
Perugia
İTC
Pontedera 2-3 Perugia — Actual Match Statistics
Perugia nicked a narrow win over Pontedera 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Perugia found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Pontedera had 51% of the ball to Perugia's 49%, shots finished 10-5.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Perugia led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Pontedera and 1.00 for Perugia.
What was the final score of Pontedera vs Perugia?
Pontedera 2-3 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pontedera vs Perugia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 32%, draw 30%, Perugia 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perugia), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.