Fiorenzuola 1-1 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
20.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.7pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.3pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorenzuola EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.82/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.61/0.13
-30% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +127% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
151 · 58% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorenzuola
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lumezzane
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2023 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-0 HT 1-0 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorenzuola
1-1
AWAY Lumezzane
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fiorenzuola vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorenzuola and Lumezzane couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 33% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fiorenzuola had 49% of the ball to Lumezzane's 51%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Fiorenzuola vs Lumezzane?

Fiorenzuola 1-1 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorenzuola vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lumezzane win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Fiorenzuola 32%, draw 33%, Lumezzane 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lumezzane), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lumezzane) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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