SS Monopoli 4-0 Taranto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.37
Draw
30%
4.19
Away
21%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.81
No
64%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
44%
2.34
2-3 Goals
28%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.56
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.34 — our 44% vs market 34.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
69%
-19.8pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.6pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+11.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
32%
+4.1pp
64%
BTTS No
68%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Taranto EU Bookmakers 12%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.63/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.92
-11% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Taranto
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.04.2024 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-2 HT 0-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
11.12.2023 Taranto Taranto 1-0 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
23.12.2022 Taranto Taranto 0-0 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
04.09.2022 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 4-1 HT 1-1 Taranto Taranto İTC
06.04.2022 Taranto Taranto 2-0 HT 2-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
14.11.2021 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 2-0 HT 1-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
4-0
AWAY Taranto
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 4
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Taranto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli ran out comfortable winners over Taranto 4-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SS Monopoli as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 63% of the ball to Taranto's 37%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Taranto led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for SS Monopoli and 1.00 for Taranto.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Taranto?

SS Monopoli 4-0 Taranto in the Italy - Serie C on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Taranto?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 49%, draw 30%, Taranto 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Monopoli), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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