Ternana 1-1 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.16
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.99/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.87
+54% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ternana
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Virtus Entella
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
10.02.2018 Ternana Ternana 0-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
16.09.2017 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 3-1 HT 1-1 Ternana Ternana İTB
17.04.2017 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-1 HT 0-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
19.11.2016 Ternana Ternana 3-0 HT 2-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
02.04.2016 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 2-2 HT 1-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
15.11.2015 Ternana Ternana 1-2 HT 0-2 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana
1-1
AWAY Virtus Entella
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Ternana vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana and Virtus Entella shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ternana at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ternana had 59% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 41%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Virtus Entella led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ternana and 1.50 for Virtus Entella.

What was the final score of Ternana vs Virtus Entella?

Ternana 1-1 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie C on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ternana 47%, draw 27%, Virtus Entella 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ternana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ternana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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