Vis Pesaro 2-1 Milan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan II EU Bookmakers 26%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.07/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.00
+45% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
2-1
AWAY Milan II
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vis Pesaro vs Milan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro nicked a narrow win over Milan II 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vis Pesaro as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 50% of the ball to Milan II's 50%, shots finished 14-11.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs Milan II?

Vis Pesaro 2-1 Milan II in the Italy - Serie C on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs Milan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vis Pesaro win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 46%, draw 30%, Milan II 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vis Pesaro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vis Pesaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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