Pro Patria 1-1 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
39%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
5.27
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.0pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
39%
Away Win
28%
+11.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.2pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.07/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.37
-12% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
249 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Pergolettese
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.08.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTCK
10.02.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
29.09.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-1 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
18.02.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-2 HT 1-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
19.10.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 3-2 HT 1-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
24.04.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-0 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
1-1
AWAY Pergolettese
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria and Pergolettese couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Pro Patria had 58% of the ball to Pergolettese's 42%, shots finished 11-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pro Patria and 1.00 for Pergolettese.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Pergolettese?

Pro Patria 1-1 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pergolettese win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 34%, draw 27%, Pergolettese 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pergolettese), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pergolettese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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