Pro Patria 2-0 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.29
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
5.2
6+ Goals
7%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.4pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.10/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.29
-11% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Pergolettese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-1 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
18.02.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-2 HT 1-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
19.10.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 3-2 HT 1-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
24.04.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-0 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
18.12.2021 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-1 HT 0-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
21.02.2021 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-2 HT 0-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
2-0
AWAY Pergolettese
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria got the better of Pergolettese 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Pro Patria found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pro Patria had 42% of the ball to Pergolettese's 58%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pergolettese led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pro Patria and 1.50 for Pergolettese.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Pergolettese?

Pro Patria 2-0 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Patria win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 37%, draw 30%, Pergolettese 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pro Patria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pro Patria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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