Pineto 1-1 Lucchese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.64
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.1pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Lucchese EU Bookmakers 40%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.98/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.56
+82% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +94%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pineto
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lucchese
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
30.09.2023 Lucchese Lucchese 3-0 HT 2-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
1-1
AWAY Lucchese
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Lucchese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pineto and Lucchese couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Pineto had 36% of the ball to Lucchese's 64%, shots finished 6-16.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Lucchese?

Pineto 1-1 Lucchese in the Italy - Serie C on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Lucchese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pineto win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pineto 38%, draw 31%, Lucchese 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pineto), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pineto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
10 Feb 2024
18:15 Pro Patria vs Pergolettese Analysis →
18:15 Sassari Torres vs Juventus II Analysis →
20:30 Arzignano Valchiampo vs GIANA Erminio Analysis →
20:30 Novara vs Virtus Verona Analysis →
20:30 Atalanta II vs Vicenza Analysis →
20:30 Fiorenzuola vs Pro Vercelli Analysis →