Fiorenzuola 3-3 Pro Vercelli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorenzuola EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
0.85/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.03
-22% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorenzuola
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Pro Vercelli
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.09.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 4-1 HT 4-0 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola İTC
16.04.2022 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 2-1 HT 0-1 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola İTC
12.12.2021 Fiorenzuola Fiorenzuola 0-2 HT 0-2 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorenzuola
3-3
AWAY Pro Vercelli
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fiorenzuola vs Pro Vercelli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorenzuola and Pro Vercelli couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fiorenzuola had 39% of the ball to Pro Vercelli's 61%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pro Vercelli led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fiorenzuola and 2.67 for Pro Vercelli.

What was the final score of Fiorenzuola vs Pro Vercelli?

Fiorenzuola 3-3 Pro Vercelli in the Italy - Serie C on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorenzuola vs Pro Vercelli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pro Vercelli win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fiorenzuola 33%, draw 27%, Pro Vercelli 40%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pro Vercelli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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