Pro Patria 1-0 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.64
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.44
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+60% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -43%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Pergolettese
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
29.09.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-1 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
18.02.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-2 HT 1-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
19.10.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 3-2 HT 1-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
24.04.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 1-0 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
18.12.2021 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-1 HT 0-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
1-0
AWAY Pergolettese
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria edged past Pergolettese 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Pro Patria made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Pro Patria had 44% of the ball to Pergolettese's 56%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pro Patria and 1.17 for Pergolettese.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Pergolettese?

Pro Patria 1-0 Pergolettese in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Patria win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 40%, draw 26%, Pergolettese 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pro Patria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pro Patria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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