Pro Vercelli 1-0 Lucchese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.5
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.75
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-10.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lucchese EU Bookmakers 27%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.97
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +51%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Vercelli
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Lucchese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
72% Ball Possession 28%
15 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 5
07.02.2021 Lucchese Lucchese 0-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
11.10.2020 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 2-1 HT 1-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Vercelli
1-0
AWAY Lucchese
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pro Vercelli vs Lucchese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Vercelli nicked a narrow win over Lucchese 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Pro Vercelli made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Pro Vercelli had 53% of the ball to Lucchese's 47%, shots finished 17-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pro Vercelli had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pro Vercelli and 0.50 for Lucchese.

What was the final score of Pro Vercelli vs Lucchese?

Pro Vercelli 1-0 Lucchese in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Vercelli vs Lucchese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Vercelli win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pro Vercelli 38%, draw 29%, Lucchese 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pro Vercelli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pro Vercelli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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