US Latina 1-4 Perugia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.35
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Perugia EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Perugia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
13.05.2017 US Latina US Latina 2-2 HT 1-1 Perugia Perugia İTB
24.12.2016 Perugia Perugia 1-1 HT 1-1 US Latina US Latina İTB
01.03.2016 Perugia Perugia 2-0 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTB
18.10.2015 US Latina US Latina 2-1 HT 2-1 Perugia Perugia İTB
28.04.2015 US Latina US Latina 0-0 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTB
06.12.2014 Perugia Perugia 0-0 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
1-4
AWAY Perugia
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH US Latina vs Perugia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perugia ran out comfortable winners over US Latina 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was US Latina at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, US Latina had 45% of the ball to Perugia's 55%, shots finished 15-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for US Latina and 1.00 for Perugia.

What was the final score of US Latina vs Perugia?

US Latina 1-4 Perugia in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs Perugia?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Latina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split US Latina 41%, draw 25%, Perugia 34%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (US Latina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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