SS Monopoli 1-0 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.79
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 34%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+31% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
28.10.2020 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 2-1 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
1-0
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli squeezed past Cosenza Calcio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; SS Monopoli found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 47% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 53%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Cosenza Calcio?

SS Monopoli 1-0 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 39%, draw 28%, Cosenza Calcio 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Monopoli), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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