Juventus II 1-0 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.64
Over 2.5
54%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.51
2-3 Goals
36%
1.69
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
4.1
6+ Goals
12%
20.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.1 — our 28% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
45%
+5.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
57%
-11.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
43%
+11.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.1pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Novara EU Bookmakers 30%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
2.62/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/2.00
+78% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / -32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus II
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Novara
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.03.2023 Novara Novara 2-0 HT 0-0 Juventus II Juventus II İTC
06.11.2022 Juventus II Juventus II 2-1 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
03.03.2021 Juventus II Juventus II 2-1 HT 1-1 Novara Novara İTC
08.11.2020 Novara Novara 1-1 HT 1-1 Juventus II Juventus II İTC
22.01.2020 Juventus II Juventus II 2-2 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus II
1-0
AWAY Novara
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventus II vs Novara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus II squeezed past Novara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Juventus II as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventus II had 47% of the ball to Novara's 53%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Juventus II had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Juventus II and 1.40 for Novara.

What was the final score of Juventus II vs Novara?

Juventus II 1-0 Novara in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus II vs Novara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Juventus II 50%, draw 25%, Novara 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventus II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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