Crotone 3-2 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.91
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 37%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -17%
0.80/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.25
-31% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Catania
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTCK
07.01.2024 Crotone Crotone 3-0 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
29.11.2023 Catania Catania 3-3 HT 0-1 Crotone Crotone İTCK
01.09.2023 Catania Catania 0-1 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
16.02.2015 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 0-1 Crotone Crotone İTB
23.09.2014 Crotone Crotone 1-1 HT 0-1 Catania Catania İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
3-2
AWAY Catania
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crotone vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone squeezed past Catania 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Crotone made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crotone had 45% of the ball to Catania's 55%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crotone had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Crotone and 1.00 for Catania.

What was the final score of Crotone vs Catania?

Crotone 3-2 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated an Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Crotone 32%, draw 28%, Catania 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Catania) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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