Ascoli 1-1 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+10.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera EU Bookmakers 25%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +17%
0.85/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.05
-46% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Pontedera
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
18.03.2015 Pontedera Pontedera 0-0 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
02.11.2014 Ascoli Ascoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
23.03.2014 Pontedera Pontedera 5-0 HT 3-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
1-1
AWAY Pontedera
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Pontedera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli and Pontedera couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ascoli at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ascoli had 63% of the ball to Pontedera's 37%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ascoli and 1.67 for Pontedera.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Pontedera?

Ascoli 1-1 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Pontedera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 43%, draw 25%, Pontedera 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ascoli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ascoli) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
10 Nov 2024
14:30 Rimini vs Sassari Torres Analysis →
14:30 Rossoblu Potenza vs Avellino Analysis →
17:00 Perugia vs Ternana Analysis →
17:00 Athletic Carpi vs Campobasso Analysis →
17:00 Milan II vs Arezzo Analysis →
17:00 Virtus Entella vs Gubbio Analysis →