Milan II 2-2 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.15
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.0pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 42%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -23%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.87
+82% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -44%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan II
2-2
AWAY Arezzo
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Milan II vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan II and Arezzo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Milan II had 44% of the ball to Arezzo's 56%, shots finished 10-19.

What was the final score of Milan II vs Arezzo?

Milan II 2-2 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie C on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan II vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Milan II 36%, draw 27%, Arezzo 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✗ Under 2.5
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