Virtus Entella 2-1 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.1
2-3 Goals
33%
1.82
4-5 Goals
15%
6.06
6+ Goals
14%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.1pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.1pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.2pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.37/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.65
-4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Entella
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gubbio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.02.2024 Gubbio Gubbio 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
15.10.2023 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 2-1 HT 1-1 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
22.05.2023 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 3-1 HT 2-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
18.05.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 2-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
28.01.2023 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-0 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
24.09.2022 Gubbio Gubbio 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Entella
2-1
AWAY Gubbio
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Virtus Entella vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella squeezed past Gubbio 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Virtus Entella as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Virtus Entella had 47% of the ball to Gubbio's 53%, shots finished 8-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Virtus Entella had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Virtus Entella and 0.67 for Gubbio.

What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Gubbio?

Virtus Entella 2-1 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Gubbio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 47%, draw 32%, Gubbio 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Entella) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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